Chances are, Costa Rica is about to elect its first female president. Ticos go to the polls tomorrow, and Laura Chinchilla, the favored successor of current President Oscar Arias, has steadily led in the polls throughout the campaign. The most her opponents can hope for, it seems, is to force a second round of voting.
But would the election of a woman president in Costa Rica be historic on the scale of the election of an African-American man, or a woman, in the United States? Not really.
Now, many Costa Ricans are excited about seeing a woman in the Casa Presidencial. But in Latin America, Costa Rica is behind many of its neighbors. Nicaragua elected a woman president in 1990, as did Panama in 1999. Argentina’s president is a woman, and for another month, so is Chile’s.
And by Costa Rican law, 40 percent of each party’s legislators in the Legislative Assembly must be women. In 2014, it will be 50 percent.
Besides her gender, Laura Chinchilla doesn’t offer substantial change from the current administration. Chinchilla served as Oscar Arias’ second vice-president (Costa Ricans get two, in case one has to step down amidst ethical scandals), a position she used do get relatively little done.
The Oscar Arias administration was largely marked by a fierce and long battle over the Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA), which split the country down the middle. Arias and Chinchilla supported and campaigned for the trade agreement, which was narrowly passed by referendum in 2007. The country has yet to reap the touted benefits of the deal, which proponents blame on the global recession.
Though liberal on trade, she is a social conservative and opposes abortion rights as well as gay marriage, keeping her in line with the Catholic Church and status quo in Costa Rica.
On one of the most important issues from my own reporting in Costa Rica — the environment — Chinchilla would likely carry on the same direction as Arias. The current administration continually came down on the business side of the clash between the environment and development (be it beach condos or an open-pit gold mine), and alienated much of the country’s environmental movement.
For other perspectives on the elections, see local journalist Alex Leff’s posts here and here, and great photos of the candidates by Costa Rican photojournalist Mónica Quesada here, here and here. A very straight look at the recent and long term political history from Angus Reid is here.
And one of the oddest political ads I’ve ever seen: pregnant hotties and men in diapers?







